Trump longevity poll, evening of 5/17

Let's grab a snapshot of people's predictions.

Voted for complete term because I can't imagine it happening but this whole situation was never meant to happen.

I think it's possible that he gets tired of the whole thing and resigns before this term is over, replaced by Pence unless evidence comes to light that he was complicit in some of the stuff that Trump's being accused of.

Other: Trump will start WWIII within 10 months and @Dayton3 will die while jerking off furiously to the worldwide nuclear holocaust.

I'm starting to think he'll be impeached.

If we were back in the pre-altered timeline of November 7th 2016, I'd say impeachment....but we're in a new dimension where anything could happen.

Trump could pull off his skin, and turn out to be three dwarves in a trench-coat.

The Martians from "Mars Attacks", could vaporize Congress.

Bernie could reveal himself to be Melania's incest baby from the future.

Nazis could ride in on dinosaurs.

Really, it's all up in the air, and none of it would shock me anymore.

Sadly, I think it's most likely that he will finish his term.

Impeached.

Trump's ego wouldn't let him resign even if he wanted to, and I don't think he does. Impeachment is a very serious affair, and I don't think anything he's done--beyond reasonable doubt--so far rises to the level necessary for that to happen.

I presume he'll get his entire term, and it's way too early to tell where his chances for re-election will be. I suspect the level of outrage over his Presidency is unsustainable and will gradually burn itself out. And there's always the possibility that some crisis will redefine Trump as Presidential.

I think he'll be impeached. Whether there's a conviction or not is a much harder thing to say.

My prediction: Trump dies of a heart attack while sitting on the toilet in early July, 2018. Pence ends up being a slightly worse than mediocre president, runs for re-election, and loses to Kanye West. At Kanye's inauguration, Taylor Swift interrupts and takes his mic to announce that Roosevelt was the greatest president of all time. Two weeks into West's presidency, we're at war with Switzerland, somehow.

John Titor! You've returned!

it's all in the bible! One of these times one of it's prophesies might come to fruition, and this just might be it.

Dayton becomes vicepresident.

I think he'll resign - it's plain that being President isn't what he expected, and - rather than see his term killed by a thousand cuts from a daily-increasing array of opponents from every point of the political spectrum - he'll step down with the mother of all petulant speeches. It'll be an hour of finger-pointing, informing his followers that everyone but him in to blame. The TLAs were all after him, the Democrats were after him, the Republicans were after him, hell, maybe even fucking Elvis resurrected just to take a shot too.

It'll be something of a meltdown and the Trumpeters will martyrise him, mainly as he'll paint it the Powers That Be, some dark Deep State, wanted to destroy this here Man of the People who threatened their cosy applecart with an upending. He'll portray himself as a victim, some modern Christ crucified by political system terrified of the threat he posed to the elites.

And it'll replace Downfall as the imagery of choice of a jolly good rant over things.

The outrage doesn't need to last 4 years, but only 18 more months yes? Then if the Ds take the House they give him the Republicans-since-2010 treatment and he rolls into 2020 without a single accomplishment aside from Gorsuch.

However if Trump refuses to learn and keeps making these idiotic, childish mistakes over and over again, I'm not unsure the country couldn't maintain this level of outrage to 2020 if needed.

I doubt he'll take Pence down with him. Otherwise it's a hard one to call. But I vote for impeachment, maybe not on the basis of what he's already done, but simply because the fuckups are coming so thick and fast, that eventually he'll have gone too far even for his current supporters in Congress.

If from this moment on, he became as well behaved as a Vulcan...mmmaaaybe.
But do you really see that happening?
Come on.

He'll finish his term. I doubt he runs for a second term, most likely due to his health/age and that he'll prefer to spend his remaining years as a private citizen.

I think impeachment is unlikely due to the Pub controlled Congress. In 2018, when the Dems take over in a landslide, the process for impeachment will take longer than his remaining term. It may happen before 2018 but when faced with a Dem controlled Congress, he'll resign and become a martyr for the remaining lost souls who still support him. I'm ashamed to say my parents are among those people.

Given the average House losses the party controlling the presidency suffers in the first midterms, the Democrats taking control of the House is quite possible.

But the numbers are heavily against the Democrats in the Senate. IIRC 9 Democratic Senators are up for reelection in states Trump won in 2016.

The Democrats would probably consider it a big victory if they held down Republican gains in the Senate to only a couple of seats.

That would give the GOP a fairly stable 54-46 majority in the Senate. And while a Democratic controlled House can do what it wants regarding impeachment I find it highly unlikely that a GOP controlled Senate would vote to remove President Trump from office.

He'll finish his term, than the pendulum will swing even farther in the opposite direction and we'll get a democrat who's even more unbearably progressive than Obama.

Here's what I don't get about that: Trump ran against most of the GOP establishment. Even though many have been holding their tongue since he won, shouldn't most of them welcome a clear, unambiguous chance to replace him with Pence?

He was still their nominee. Had he gone as an independent, I imagine impeachment papers would have been gleefully stapled to his forehead by now, but at the moment it'd still be more embarrassing and potentially politically toxic to do that than it is to hope he reels in the crazy.

At some point that math will change, it's just a matter of when.

I don't think they can unless there is crystal clear evidence of something greater than some aides talking to Russians, even if they discussed some you scratch our back and we'll scratch yours.

The White Nationalists that Trump activated have historically been a pillar of the Republican Party. They've been given dog whistles and some sideways policy, but this is finally their chance to be in charge. If the Establishment wing were to remove their champion it could result in a collapse of the base and electoral slaughter moving forward.

Trump is gone by the Fourth of July, probably resigning to avoid impeachment.

I'm still sticking with Halloween.

Get ready for President Orrin Hatch.

Actually, with the recent afterlife budgetary cutbacks, I don't think there are enough ghosts of any holiday left to visit him and make that happen.