But Paul was supposed to finish 6th or 7th, remember? The good news, he's nailing Rudy's coffin shut as we speak.
Rudy's putting most of his chips for the moment in Florida. Especially the southeastern part of the state.
And for that McCain's now in the lead in Florida and Rudy's in a three way dogfight for 2nd. Which means he's probably in fourth by the time I'm done typing this post given his recent trends.
Nevada is also a very small turnout caucus state, and the state party establishment strongly backed Romney as far as I can tell. In a low turnout caucus that makes a huge difference. 10,000 votes supplied by state party GOTV efforts would be a breeze and amount to a quarter of the total vote.
Northern Nevada is mormon country, folks. There's more mormons than catholics (and probably practicing protestants, too) in Nevada.
Paul did spend some time in Nevada. Besides, most of Nevada is Mormon Country, so I expected a Romney slam-dunk.
Someone who, as the entrance poll from Nevada and the exit poll from South Carolina show, polls decently among independents but gets virtually no support from registered Republicans is nailing shut Rudy's coffin? :rofl3: The closed primaries are coming up soon and they're bringing Paul's descent into irrelevancy with them.
Lessee...in how primaries has Rudy beaten Paul so far? Rudy is going to tank in Florida. The deathwatch is on. The huge 25% lead he had there is all but gone. Meanwhile, Paul takes 2nd in Nevada. He who laughs last...
I'm still expecting Paul to score about 5-10% on average...maybe over 10% here and there, but he's running a good 10% average so far...whipping Il Duce everywhere he goes...
Rudy gave up on everything before Florida long ago, he's been waiting for everyone to come to him while Paul's (who trails frontrunner Rudy by 15% in Florida's latest poll) been making futile efforts to crawl out of the 5-12% support range that he's been stuck in for months.
Doesn't say much for Rudy's campaign when he's concentrating on a state that's lost half its Republican delagates, though. He'll be crushed on Super Tuesday.
And St. Rudy STILL can't beat the supposed weakest candidate in the field, who has just about a press blackout from the major networks. While Fox and Hannity slobber all over Rudy, Paul still beats him like a rented mule. Rudy is a loser. Deal with it.
The reason why Rudy concentrated on Florida was because he knew he was a total loser in every other state so far. No money, no support, despite being the darling of Fox News and Sean Hannity. Yet Paul has contested EVERY state so far. Seems like Paul isn't afraid to go into those states where he might be unpopular.. McCain will wipe the floor with Rudy in Florida. Huckleberry Hound might, too.
Ronulans are so funny. They vacillate between pretentiously screedy attacks on states that aren't "wise" enough to vote for their guy and wild boasts about beating certain candidates in states where they weren't putting up any effort.
But not nearly as funny as people who think Rudy still has a chance barring terrorist attack on the U.S. before Feb. 5.
Rudy and Fred are done; they've made zero press in the past thirty days, and no one primary will get them any real votes. It's a two man race between Romney and Huckabee. Their messages don't matter, it's who they resemble. Romney is trying to be Reagan, and Huckabee is viewed as a fundamentalist demagogue, the southern boy. McCain's trying to pretend to be Paul, but only the stupid are forgetting his record. The interesting thing is I could see a Romney-Huckabee ticket; they'd have the entire Republican base behind them, and are arguably the only way the GOP can overcome Obama, or maybe even Clinton (she waxes and wanes each week).
As someone who pegs the Democratic ticket, whatever it may end up being, as the lesser evil, that's a thought that makes me a bit giddy. Rather than consolidate the Republican base, that's a ticket that offends two-thirds of the base so much as to depress their turnout, and any ticket with Huckabee on it will make sure that centrist independents break heavily Democratic. Clinton/Sharpton might well beat that ticket; Clinton and any real Democratic Veep candidate crushes it. With that ticket the Republicans don't have much chance outside of the South and Utah, and if Clinton isn't the nominee the Democrats might rack up 400+ electoral votes.