If Elected, How Long Do You Think Donald Trump Will Serve As President?

I loathe Donald Trump. Can't stand the thought of Hillary Clinton being elected president either. And actually I think enough women, blacks, and Hispanics will get to the polls to push Clinton to a narrow win over Donald Trump regardless of how good a campaign he runs.

But.

Let's say Trump does win the presidency. How long do you think he'll serve?

I don't think he would run for a second term no matter how big his ego is:

1) Trump will be the oldest man ever elected as president. And the presidency is a very stressful position. Just look at President Obama, one of the youngest men ever elected. You can see how the stress has dramatically aged him over the years.

2) Deep frustration. I think that Trump actually believes the hype he promotes about himself. And he is likely to get deeply frustrated when he finds there are a massive range of things he promised or thought he could do. I see him as angry beyond belief that he can't cut deals with China, Russia, or even Congress the way he could with real estate moguls in Manhattan and New Jersey.

3) Disappointment with his supporters. Donald Trumps supporters have been quite enthusiastic and even fanatical. But unless Trump turns out to be one hell of a president that adulation is likely to go down the crapper in short order. When the adoring crowds turn their backs on him, I see Trump as being bitterly and angrily disappointed.

I think Trump will serve as President for exactly as long as you will serve as President.

Trump will be President for ten to twenty thousand years, encompassing more human evolution than separated us from monkeys. He will keep upgrading and reinventing himself to dodge the 22nd Amendment until he has it repealed. He will never look more than half the age of Hillary and Bernie.

Due to ignorance I think he would be impeached in less than a year.

Finally something we can 100% agree on.

10, maybe 12 minutes.

Sad when you can't get serious answers to a legitimate scenario.

I think he would do a repeat. The presidency would not stress him out as much as people think; it would be filled with cronyism.

At most one term, he would try to run again but would likely lose his own primary.

Republican voters were mad at the politicians and the clown car was so useless and depressing that there was room for a reality show huckster to squeeze in.

We had a great economic crisis due to deregulating the banks and the Republican party literally did not change their position on anyrhing, they kept claiming tax cuts for the rich were all that mattered, and then the party even got more crazy and just stopped doing even the most basic functions of the jobs voters had elected them to do. So voters decided to go with a wild card and see if that changed anything.

He'll win more than one term. We'll undoubtedly repeal the 22nd Amendment and then pass the 29th Amendment to rename the United States of America "Trump Nation". Then, realizing that we're no longer limited to being just "America", Trump will go on an acquisition phase and add most of Scandinavia and the Caribbean to the US, and then reviving the Annexation Bill of 1866, we'll add all of Canada. That will be followed by the US invasion and conquest of Mexico, adding yet more states to the Trump flag.

So said we all when Bush Jr sued his way into office.

I think that there seems to be a misunderstanding just how many people in America are stupid. That that Trump has come this far means he probably can exceed expectations on a secoond term as well. If a joke like Dubya did (who couldn't even sting a sentence together), while waging an illegal war, why can't Trump?

Decent point, Chup. Keep making good posts like that and I might take you off of ignore.

Hopefully, Trump won't win in November, but in the horrific case he does, I would hope his term in the Oval Office would be over by Tax Day '17 via impeachment.


MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN:
BY DEPORTING DONALD TRUMP!

If he wins, my only hope against hope is that he does several orders of magnitudes better as pres than I think he will. I did hear a guy in an NPR interview say that the way he's running his campaign so far is straight out of The Art of the Deal. You start out the negotiations by acting all bombastic and making crazy claims, and then later on, you switch it around and start acting rationally. I guess we'll see sooner than later if that holds true.

Apologies in advance for replying to you.

But maybe it's you.

Maybe it shouldn't be

8 years. 4 iff he pisses off someone enough to declare war on us. Don't underestimate populists.

Maybe, maybe, maybe, fuck maybe.

Maybe you should kill yourself ? : )

Apologies for repeating my original mistake of replying to you (perhaps, like you, I'm a recidivist idiot).

Don't be so hard on yourself.

You're only half right....

I think he would be harmless. Checks and balances do work. Contrary to widespread belief in the rest of the world, a US president is no god-emperor. Their word is neither law nor necessariy policy. Also, the one good thing about Trump is that he's all about his ego. Ego means a keen sense of self preservation. Which makes him a lot more reasonable than, say, Cruz. Religious fanatics are much more dangerous than ego centered megalomaniacs.

I also think the question is moot. Trump means that the other candidate wins automatically. Indeed I believe the Dems could put up Homer Simpson and he'd win against Trump.

^Agreed with the first paragraph.

As to disagreeing w the second: we elected Obama. Twice. Trump could easily find a path to the top, after all, America couldn't possibly simultaneously represent both the genius and the stupidity so often ascribed to our masses (depends on who you talk to).

E.g. Trump may not have all of Hitler's charisma, but then the US isn't exactly Weimar.

What makes you think that there'd be an America left for him to have a second term in?

Unless he starts a nuclear war, I don't think America would be destroyed in only four years.

A trade war possibly. The U.S. might suffer a major recession. But we might anyway as we're overdue now.

It only took 13 months for the Soviet Union to implode after the Berlin Wall fell. You think American exceptionalism would have allowed us to drag it out to 26 months?

Major recession? We're barely out of the one we were in back in '09.

Technically, the recession ended in 2010. As everyone in the Obama Admin. will tell you, we've had what? 70 or 80 straight months of job growth.

Now, the jobs numbers have always sounded sketchy and the recovery has been weak and anemic at best.

But its still a recovery.

Um, how could you read the post if I was on ignore.....?

Douchebag.

And prior to that, we hadn't had anything approaching a "major recession" (your words, not mine), since the Great Depression of 1929. I do not think you'll find too many economists who'll say that Trump's policies would be good for the economy, so I don't think that were he elected we could expect an "ordinary" recession, or even a recession at all. What would happen would be far, far worse.

The recessions of 1974-75 and 1981-82 are generally considered "major" because IIRC in both of those unemployment got up around 10% or more.

In the wake of the Great Recession, I suggest your scale needs some re-calibration. Not to mention unemployment figures were calculated differently then than they are now, so relying solely upon them isn't a good method of measurement. Nor is most of economics, since there's no hard definition as to what constitutes a "recession." Instead, economists get together, talk about it, and then vote if we're in one or not. Thus, its entirely possible that the country could be considered not to be in a recession due to something like economic growth, regardless of what the unemployment levels were.

How do you define a recession and the severity of it?