The SEVENTH Biennial Wordforge Election Prediction Thread

Discussion in 'The Red Room' started by tafkats, Sep 27, 2022.

  1. tafkats

    tafkats scream not working because space make deaf Moderator

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    Hey everybody, guess what time it is?

    6uxkxq.jpg

    That's right, it's time to dust off your Magic Eight Balls (no, not that kind of eight-ball, @Tererun) and guess the outcome of the 2022 midterms!

    Will @Rimjob Bob's reign as Master Prognosticator last longer than Madison Cawthorn's congressional career? Will @Order2Chaos regain the crown, or at least add to his title as most-medaled Wordforge Pundit?

    To enter, just answer each of the following questions:
    • How many seats will each party control in the Senate?
    • How many seats will each party control in the House?
    • Tiebreaker: What percentage of the first-round vote will Sarah Palin receive in Alaska?
    The rules:
    • You must make your predictions by 7 a.m. Eastern Time on Tuesday, November 8, which is not technically the earliest poll-opening time in the country, but it's what I've been doing for 10 years now, so fuck it. You may change your prediction at any time up until then, but please make a new post to make sure I see it.
    • To adjust for the difference in size between the House and Senate, a multiplier of 4.35 will be applied to the Senate.
    • Any independents will count toward the total of the party with which they caucus.
    • If needed, the tiebreaker will be decided on a "closest without going over" basis.
    Past winners:

    2020
    1) @Rimjob Bob
    2) @Demiurge
    3) @Bailey

    2018
    @Order2Chaos
    @Bailey
    @TheBurgerKing

    2016
    @Dayton3
    @Dinner
    @Order2Chaos

    2014
    @Dinner
    @Cobalt
    @Order2Chaos

    2012
    @Dinner
    @K.
    @Fisherman's Worf

    2012 (Iowa caucuses)
    @Cobalt
    @Nova
    @Phoenix

    2010
    @Caedus
    @Demiurge
    @Order2Chaos

    Start predicting, motherfuckers!
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 28, 2022
  2. Bill Carson

    Bill Carson Small r Republican

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    No matter who wins, we all lose.
  3. Order2Chaos

    Order2Chaos Ultimate... Immortal Administrator

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    What's the tiebreaker based on? Final non-exhausted ballot percentages, first place vote percentages, something else?
  4. tafkats

    tafkats scream not working because space make deaf Moderator

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    Fuck, I shoulda chosen something simpler.

    Let's say first-round first-place percentages. I'll edit that in.
  5. Faceman

    Faceman Negative Creep

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    Both sides!
  6. Bickendan

    Bickendan Custom Title Administrator Faceless Mook Writer

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    Edited first post to proper tag Chad and Packard.

    Who has not been banned, despite best efforts.
    • Funny Funny x 1
  7. Ten Lubak

    Ten Lubak Salty Dog

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    Nah - women, minorities, the queers and common sense lose fucking big time if Republicans win
    • Agree Agree x 2
    • Winner Winner x 1
  8. matthunter

    matthunter Ice Bear

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    But... think of the white men! Who will preserve them in the face of losing a whole 0.01% of their complete domination over society? WHOOOOOO?????!!!!!
    • Agree Agree x 1
  9. Bill Carson

    Bill Carson Small r Republican

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    Since @Bickendan thinks I don’t know what words mean: This is called a straw man.
    This is not an argument I have made.
  10. Bill Carson

    Bill Carson Small r Republican

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    Both sides what? Are bad? If that’s what you’re trying to say, then I agree.
  11. matthunter

    matthunter Ice Bear

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    Are white men not part of "we all"?

    If not, why not, you racist?
  12. Bill Carson

    Bill Carson Small r Republican

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    You’re the one who provided specifics, I did not.
  13. matthunter

    matthunter Ice Bear

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    So who are "we all" in your definition?

    If it can't be meaningfully extrapolated to include white men, it hardly seems like it's representative.

    Though I'm heartened to see you championing women and minorities for a change.
  14. Bill Carson

    Bill Carson Small r Republican

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    I've always championed women and minorities.
    • Winner Winner x 1
    • Fantasy World Fantasy World x 1
  15. Faceman

    Faceman Negative Creep

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    :yes:
  16. Bickendan

    Bickendan Custom Title Administrator Faceless Mook Writer

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    Yes you have via subtext.
  17. Bill Carson

    Bill Carson Small r Republican

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    Prove it.
  18. Faceman

    Faceman Negative Creep

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    One fine day.
  19. shootER

    shootER Insubordinate...and churlish Administrator

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    You know where he lives.
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  20. Fisherman's Worf

    Fisherman's Worf I am the Seaman, I am the Walrus, Qu-Qu-Qapla'!

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    who is Chad
  21. Bickendan

    Bickendan Custom Title Administrator Faceless Mook Writer

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    this guy
    [​IMG]
    • Funny Funny x 1
  22. Fisherman's Worf

    Fisherman's Worf I am the Seaman, I am the Walrus, Qu-Qu-Qapla'!

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    sploosh
    • Agree Agree x 1
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  23. Ancalagon

    Ancalagon outta my way Administrator Formerly Important

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    I’m now 51-49 D in the Senate. +9 R in the House.
  24. tafkats

    tafkats scream not working because space make deaf Moderator

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    Can you list the number of House seats won by each party rather than a margin? (Since +9R can be interpreted as Republicans having 9 more than Democrats, Republicans picking up 9 seats, etc., and currently vacant seats increase the ambiguity.)
  25. Kommander

    Kommander Official New Dayton

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    House and senate 100% Republican.

    Because any day now, Trump is going to take back the White House and declare the Democratic Party a terrorist organization, so only Republicans will be able to run.

    Last place here I come!
    • Funny Funny x 2
    • Agree Agree x 1
  26. Eightball

    Eightball Fresh Meat

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    This doesnt happen until 2025.
  27. MikeH92467

    MikeH92467 RadioNinja

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    Senate 51 D/I 49 R
    House 220 D 215 R
    • popcorn popcorn x 1
  28. MikeH92467

    MikeH92467 RadioNinja

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    Okay, I fat fingered the House number...should be 220 R 215 D... but maybe I'll just delete and edit afterwards... :spock:
  29. tafkats

    tafkats scream not working because space make deaf Moderator

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    This post is fine for changing it. I'll read through the whole thread for updates before the contest closes.
    • Thank You! Thank You! x 1
  30. TheLonelySquire

    TheLonelySquire Fresh Meat

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    Senate 53R/47D
    House 259R/176D
    • Sad Sad x 1