SARS II: Respiratory Boogaloo

“Bless his heart” combined with an eye roll also means “he’s a dumb ass.” Or if you pleasantly surprise a southern lady “bless your heart!” Can be a big thank you. It can also be commiseration. Context is everything for this most versatile of expressions.

pretty much! Also "Have a blessed day" at the end of a conversation/transaction is a hearty "fuck you" too.

You rube, that’s from early February. There have been mountains of evidence since then.

Edit: whoops, beaten to the punch.

You must be very blessed.

Indeed! And the horse you rode in on is also very blessed!

That's all right, he needs to be told several times, lest someone be tempted to think he is actually an informed voice on the issue.

This exchange causes me to wonder about something: if two southerners in some other room (say, Green Room) were to say these same things, could they be warned for flaming? And if they responded to the mod who warned them with "Bless your heart!", could they then be banned?

Bless your heart, I don't ride a horse.

Of course!

Bless your heart and have a blessed day!

that would be a mother heart-blessing shame right there!

"You can't have seen Coronavirus deaths, because there weren't any there!"

Because you'll see it reported badly in the media soon:
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2766367

Aside from the fact that between .3 and .8 percentage points are expected to be false positives, and that the test used has quite a low sensitivity for an antibody test, selection bias is off the charts in this study. 13% reported having had a fever and cough, 9% reported fever and shortness of breath, and 6% reported loss of smell and taste. That's far, far above random, and yet the study only found 4.65% prevalence, after adjusting for sensitivity and specificity (4.31% raw - that's how low the sensitivity on this test is - the numbers actually went UP). In short, this study is garbage, and yet they're directly saying that it implies 367,000 adults in LA have had COVID. They acknowledge that the selection bias is likely, but don't say anything about what that implies for the results, and don't bother even saying that a randomized survey is necessary to figure out exactly how wrong it is. This might be worse than the Santa Clara/LA study.

EDIT: Oh, look who it's by: Neeraj Sood. Same guy as the previous two.

EDIT2: This might actually be the LA study again, but it somehow got accepted for publication today. Regardless, you're going to hear about it in the media again, so a reminder of just how shitty it was is not uncalled for.

Some easing of lockdown here, finally. We can meet a handful of people from other households outside as long as there is social distancing. And some low-risk businesses have reopened. I do feel people were starting to get lax anyway. It will be very difficult to reimpose the measures if that is needed so hopefully R can be kept down where it is right now.

What's wrong with one of these pictures?

GA Gov. statistics (source):


Washington Post stats for GA (source):

The graphing hijinks in Georgia would be funny if they weren't ... not.

https://www.businessinsider.com/graph-shows-georgia-bungling-coronavirus-data-2020-5

They added the disclaimer in the past few days to the GA Gov site "cases in the last 14 days may not be accounted for..."

sigh

Still the 7 day average curve for the period before 14 days ago still doesn't come close. Somebody is fiddling the numbers.

Those graphs look very different because of the extreme difference in vertical scales. But if you examine them closely enough, and take that into account, they are fairly similar through the end of April. It is the statistics for May that vary widely.

And that's a major distortion. Which is better for interpreting the data?

OK, I was a little hasty there, from just "eyeballing" the data. When you really compare them, you see they are fairly different. Here are the two of them "squashed together". The basic graph is the GA govenment data, but with the vertical axis shrunk way down. (That makes it pretty hard to read, so you have to refer back to the original to read most of it, but I made the dates more readable.) The bright pink line is the 7-day average from the WA Post stats, stretched to fit the same scale. (The starting dates are not the same.)

Superimposed, you see the general trend is indeed similar for March and April, but GA Gov was showing a lot more cases earlier and less later on. It's as if the WA Post didn't get the stats until later and there was a kind of "backlog" that was being made up for during a period of a couple of weeks.

Nevertheless, it now appears clearly that there is a huge discrepency starting about the 29th of April. Both have a downward trend, but it is fairly small for the Post and huge for the state government.

Covid Patients Testing Positive After Recovery Aren’t Infectious, Study Shows

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...medium=social&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic

Would this be a good time to mention that if you wanted to, you could easily find three or four people who would swear that Vitamin C cured their cancer?

Before and after pics of what happens to you if you get sick.

what? He had to go a few weeks without injecting HGH into himself?

No, because a mask is there to protect you and everyone else, whilst a gun is meant to kill at least one person in any situation it's used, since you implicitly ruled out hunting.

But that's far too many words for the average NRA'er.

@Marso posted this yesterday. Neither of you seems to get it.

What's the male equivalent of a Karen?

@Max Rebo is a male Karen