2023 Mid-Midterm Results

Discussion in 'The Red Room' started by tafkats, Nov 7, 2023.

  1. tafkats

    tafkats scream not working because space make deaf Moderator

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    In Kentucky, Andy Beshear, the incumbent Democrat, has been re-elected as governor.

    He won in a squeaker four years ago, and this time his margin is more like five points.
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  2. Ancalagon

    Ancalagon Scalawag Administrator Formerly Important

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    Ohio is doing pretty good as well yes?
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  3. tafkats

    tafkats scream not working because space make deaf Moderator

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    Yep. Even after Republicans in the legislature and the secretary of state's office did everything they could to use government power to place their thumb on the scales.
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  4. shootER

    shootER Insubordinate...and churlish Administrator

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  5. Demiurge

    Demiurge Goodbye and Hello, as always.

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    Several sources projecting the Virginia state senate to remain in Democratic Hands - they have 21 of the 40 seats with 4 still undecided.

    House is running neck and neck.

    But without the trifecta Youngkin's anti-abortion stance will gain no traction. And that means Youngkin is going to have a hard time getting out as a savior for the far right if Trump falters due to his legal issues.

    So far a good night for the Dems. MS gubernatorial expected to remain in GOP hands, Beshear and Prop 1 in OH are big wins.
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  6. Demiurge

    Demiurge Goodbye and Hello, as always.

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    And Marijuana passes in OH - the 24th state to legalize it. Could see some movement on federal recognition if this continues.

    NYT has Dems up 42-32 in the Virginia House. They've got a decent shot of pulling that one off too. I'm counting 9 more seats that a Dem is up by more than 4 points with at least 60% of the votes in.

    A VERY good night if that happens.
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  7. tafkats

    tafkats scream not working because space make deaf Moderator

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    Four years ago, Tate Reeves won with a 5-point margin.

    In counties where most of the ballots are counted, Brandon Presley is running about 5 points ahead of the 2019 Democratic nominee's total.
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  8. Demiurge

    Demiurge Goodbye and Hello, as always.

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    Would love it if it happened but he needs a 16 point push to tie with 57% of the votes counted. I'd expect some push at the end as the big cities comes in, but that's a high bar to get over.
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  9. Demiurge

    Demiurge Goodbye and Hello, as always.

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    If the Virginia races stay as they are now, it would be a sweep for the Dems. 22-18 in the Senate, and 51-48 in the House, with one too close to call at less than .1%.

    Danica Roem won her bid for state senate as well.
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  10. tafkats

    tafkats scream not working because space make deaf Moderator

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    Now in the counties outside Jackson, Reeves is doing better than his 2019 numbers, so it does look less likely.
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  11. Damar

    Damar Liberal Elitist

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    Everything that has come in so far has been a good result for the Democrats. I fully expect the corporate media to bury the lede and return the focus to the sky is falling stories about Biden’s terrible re-election chances.
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  12. Demiurge

    Demiurge Goodbye and Hello, as always.

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    In better news:

    Election results for the Virginia Legislature over the past few cycles have been shown to correlate with what happens in the following year’s national elections. So a good showing for either party Tuesday would bode well for that party next year.

    Consider what happened in 2019. Democrats were able to flip both chambers of the Virginia Legislature. The following year Democrat Joe Biden won the presidency.

    In 2021, Republicans retook the Virginia House. That was followed by the GOP winning back the US House of Representatives in 2022.

    The Virginia Senate wasn’t up in 2021 – state senators face their voters every four years. Still, the party that controls the Virginia Senate going into the presidential election has gone on to win the presidency every year but once since 1999. That one time was in 2011, when the two parties ended up tied in the state Senate, with the Republican lieutenant governor serving as the tie-breaker.

    https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/04/poli...ns-test-republicans-democrats-2024/index.html
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  13. Tuckerfan

    Tuckerfan BMF

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  14. Tuckerfan

    Tuckerfan BMF

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  15. Nova

    Nova livin on the edge of the ledge Writer

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    Nearly a clean sweep nationwide.

    #ExceptInMS

    I'm so exhausted with this shitty goddamn backward-ass state.
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  16. Nova

    Nova livin on the edge of the ledge Writer

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    Last 5 cycles, the KY gov race has predicted the presidential outcome
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  17. Steal Your Face

    Steal Your Face Anti-Federalist

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    Fear mongering works again. :blow:
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  18. Ten Lubak

    Ten Lubak Salty Dog

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    I guess that’s one step better than claiming all the elections today were rigged :lol:

    This guy, talking like republicans don’t fear monger. That’s their fucking currency dude! Amazing
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  19. Tuckerfan

    Tuckerfan BMF

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  20. Tuckerfan

    Tuckerfan BMF

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  21. Jenee

    Jenee Driver 8

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    To what fear monger it are you referring?
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  22. tafkats

    tafkats scream not working because space make deaf Moderator

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    Living near Ohio, I can testify that there was a lot of fearmongering ... but not from the side FF probably wants to believe. To listen to the anti-abortion zealots, you'd think Proposal 1 was about letting doctors come into schools and conduct surprise sterilizations without parents' knowledge.
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  23. Steal Your Face

    Steal Your Face Anti-Federalist

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    The Democrats acting as if abortion rights were/are under any threat in Virginia, they’re not. It was supposed to be a race about parental rights and taxes.
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  24. matthunter

    matthunter Ice Bear

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    Mister "Waiting periods to buy guns is squashing my 2nd Amendment rights!" will now proceed to explain how Youngkin's proposed 15-week limit on abortions, which also imposes severe limits on emergency treatments if the health of the mother or fetus are threatened after that point (a lot of medical complications aren't detectable at 15 weeks, by the way) doesn't threaten abortion rights.
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  25. Ancalagon

    Ancalagon Scalawag Administrator Formerly Important

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    First off you don’t get to decide what issues people care about.

    Secondly how do you know folks weren’t voting on those issues? Maybe they just are fine with their taxes and are tired of the whole school circus/book banning/etc.
    Last edited: Nov 8, 2023
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  26. Demiurge

    Demiurge Goodbye and Hello, as always.

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    Youngkin specifically gave an interview with CBS where he said that they were making a 15 week abortion ban a prime focus of their campaign, explicitly to 'give voters a choice.' He backed a 15 week ban previously that was blocked by the Senate. He said that he was a man of his word and he promised voters that he would work to put the 15 week abortion ban platform as the key to the end of his gubernatorial term.

    The voters did indeed choose.

    https://www.cbsnews.com/video/glenn-youngkin-hopes-to-make-abortion-winning-issue-for-republicans/
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  27. Jenee

    Jenee Driver 8

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    Parental rights and taxes may well be what you are concerned with. Doesn’t mean other people … certain politicians for example … won’t in the future attempt to remove rights presently not at risk. How many years did you say Roe V Wade would never be challenged?
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  28. Steal Your Face

    Steal Your Face Anti-Federalist

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    Abortions aren’t a constitutional right that says congress shall not infringe. Maybe you can explain to me how it is that every other right can have some restrictions, but abortions shouldn’t have any limitations?
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  29. Steal Your Face

    Steal Your Face Anti-Federalist

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    Correct, the Democrat ran media does.
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  30. Steal Your Face

    Steal Your Face Anti-Federalist

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    I never said Roe v Wade wouldn’t be challenged.
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