Say hello to 15% unemployment

Discussion in 'The Red Room' started by Sokar, Jul 24, 2009.

  1. Uncle Albert

    Uncle Albert Part beard. Part machine.

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    Hey, let's quote that goddamned graph a few more fucking times! Whee!

    :bang:
  2. 14thDoctor

    14thDoctor Oi

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    Dunno.

    It's the only explanation I can think of, though.
  3. Tuttle

    Tuttle Listen kid, we're all in it together.

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    Hello? One million dollar cap on CEO salary imposed by Pres. Clinton ASAP in 1993?

    Grants to Executives of options, to replace the excess salary over $1 million (that was capped by Clinton (see previous sentence))?

    Dot-com bubble that led to exploding share price (and consequent spike in options value)?

    http://www.wordforge.net/showpost.php?p=1830891&postcount=26
  4. 14thDoctor

    14thDoctor Oi

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    How does that lead to a decrease in the minimum wage?
  5. brudder1967

    brudder1967 this is who we are

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    They just laid off 14 people at my workplace today. Two of whom were my friends.

    I guess the dumb shit in chief's stimulus bill isn't working.

    :ua:
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  6. Tuttle

    Tuttle Listen kid, we're all in it together.

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    More money for executives; less for peons. :shrug:
  7. 14thDoctor

    14thDoctor Oi

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    And that's the first time your workplace has ever had any layoffs, right?
  8. 14thDoctor

    14thDoctor Oi

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    Federal minimum wage is set by the federal government, isn't it? Unless the federal government actually lowered it themselves, it shouldn't go down unless you're adjusting for inflation.
  9. Tuttle

    Tuttle Listen kid, we're all in it together.

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    You might be right had I elected to reply to you after having removed my tongue from my cheek, but it's kind of stuck there for you AFAIK.
  10. 14thDoctor

    14thDoctor Oi

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  11. tafkats

    tafkats scream not working because space make deaf Moderator

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    It has to be, because as far as I know, federal minimum wage has never been lowered in straight-dollar terms.
  12. Order2Chaos

    Order2Chaos Ultimate... Immortal Administrator

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    The space between each adjecent pair of vertical lines represents a year, not a month. Hence, that's about through May.

    :jayzus:
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  13. Uncle Albert

    Uncle Albert Part beard. Part machine.

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    Now accepting donations to pay Al Pacino to recite the thread title for us.
  14. 14thDoctor

    14thDoctor Oi

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    So the massive spike in unemployment was well on it's way up long before Obama took office?


    In your estimation, how long does it take for a Presidents actions to have real effects on the economy? A day, a week, a month?

    How long did some people blame the 2001 economy on Clinton?
  15. Volpone

    Volpone Zombie Hunter

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    Jesus man, show some initiative. Print out this thread and show it to your Mom. Maybe she'll raise your allowance. :techman:
  16. Order2Chaos

    Order2Chaos Ultimate... Immortal Administrator

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    Effects start immediately. They may not end for years. Overcoming previous effects takes a much more variable amount of time. The Fed caused a bubble. The bubble caused a bust. (that part is inevitable). Obama is trying to cause a new bubble. Bear in mind that economically, a bubble is just as harmful as the bust it causes. Unfortunately, all he's doing is prolonging the unemployment the bust is causing.

    Changing unemployment from looking a little like attachment 1 to looking like attachment 2. (ignore the location of the y axis. Scale is the same. slightly less peak unemployment which comes somewhat later, total unemployment for way, way longer). What matters are the integrals of these graphs, not their maxima.
  17. Lanzman

    Lanzman Vast, Cool and Unsympathetic Formerly Important

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    I love it when you talk dirty. :smitten:
  18. Volpone

    Volpone Zombie Hunter

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    Which raises an interesting point: Barking moonbats are quick to blame Bush for the economic meltdown. Yet for at least seven years of his administration, the economy was doing just fine. But then the Democrats took over the Congress and within two years the economy was in a shambles. :chris:
  19. garamet

    garamet "The whole world is watching."

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    Serious question: Would Sokar care about the unemployed if he weren't among them? :bergman:
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  20. Paladin

    Paladin Overjoyed Man of Liberty

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    There are many ways to care about the unemployed. The best way IMHO is to stimulate growth so they will have job opportunities.
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  21. Sokar

    Sokar Yippiekiyay, motherfucker. Deceased Member

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    That's not a serious question.

    It's a stupid one.

    :jayzus:
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  22. Powaqqatsi

    Powaqqatsi Haters gonna hate.

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    :(

    I only get up and bust my ass 5 days a week. Sometimes less if there is a holiday or something. Or if I am using paid time off.
  23. Powaqqatsi

    Powaqqatsi Haters gonna hate.

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    Your employer either wanted to save money to increase profit, or they were not doing well enough to keep on those workers.

    Is this somehow the governments fault? What about personal responsibility?
  24. Liet

    Liet Dr. of Horribleness, Ph.D.

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    Every time and place that sees an increase in the minimum wage sees economic libertarian predictions of resulting employment doom and gloom. Actual doom and gloom never, however, seems to result. Empirical reality suggests that increases in the minimum wage merely result in labor getting a slightly larger chunk of profits. It turns out that employers really do tend to hire only the number of workers that they need, and that differential bargaining power means that most low wage laborers end up with smaller wages than employers can afford to pay.

    When I meet the libertarian who admits that minimum wage laws have negligible effect on unemployment I'll have met my first honest libertarian. It shouldn't be that hard for libertarians to admit because unemployment isn't really the libertarian reason for opposing such laws, but rather is nothing more than a concern trolling pretext made up because the libertarian mantra of noninterference with markets doesn't sell well to the public at large. Still, I'm not holding my breath.
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  25. cpurick

    cpurick Why don't they just call it "Leftforge"?

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    It's only "negligible" to people who keep their jobs. If you're a young black kid who takes two months longer to find a job because of the hike, it's a lot less "negligible."

    Furthermore, employers do not merely hand over the wage -- they will also cut hours, demand more productivity and increase the minimum qualifications they will accept from new workers.

    A McDonalds can get the same job done with 6 $7/hr employees as it can with 7 $6/hr employees. But it may have to replace more than one $6 employee to do it -- are you going to tell them their unemployment is "negligible?" LOL, no -- you're going to tell them you got the wage raised. Nice rationalization.
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  26. Paladin

    Paladin Overjoyed Man of Liberty

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    In some areas, the minimum wage law probably doesn't have much effect. Here in California, the existing minimum wage law is already higher than the federal standard. In other urban areas, the market rate for unskilled labor might be higher than the proposed federal rate (though in high unemployment times, I doubt it).
    At least the libertarian mantra has a basis in reality. It's much easier to sell the public on the unrealistic ideas that prosperity can be legislated and that people's lot in life can be bettered by government fiat without adverse consequences.

    I oppose the minimum wage for two reasons. First, it IS an unwarranted intrusion of the state into labor markets. Second, it DOES have negative economic consequences.
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  27. Tuttle

    Tuttle Listen kid, we're all in it together.

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    Third: it needlessly skews the market which can have both obvious and unforeseen implications.

    Instead, common sense: just send checks to the impoverished-employed if that's the purpose, be transparent so society knows the costs of the particular policy. It would leave little room for debate, and is very simple to implement.
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  28. Ramen

    Ramen Banned

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    Hello, 9.7%!

    I expect those figures will be revised and re-released in a couple of weeks on Friday evening. :borg:
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  29. Scott Hamilton Robert E Ron Paul Lee

    Scott Hamilton Robert E Ron Paul Lee Straight Awesome

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    I hope I'm wrong, but I'm expecting massive unemployment increases starting in mid December as retailers don't get their Black Friday sales boosts.

    Of course, O2C has shared about the coming commercial real estate plunge in January, but I don't know that companies will be able to last even that long.
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  30. Dinner

    Dinner 2012 & 2014 Master Prognosticator

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    That graph is obviously false since the current recession began in Nov 2007. It's nothing but partisan hackery especially since in order to compare different years you have to show percentages of jobs lost. This is no more honest or accurate then when Democrats bitched about Bush's deficits using uninflation adjusted graphs. Think just a little bit, please.
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