The Fourth Biennial Wordforge Election Prediction Thread!

That's right, ladies and gentlemen, it's time to put on your psychic hats and predict the results of this year's election!

Here's a quick recap of past competitions:

• The 2010 contest was won by the late Caedus.
• The 2012 and 2014 contests were won by Dinner.

To enter, just answer each of the following questions:

• How many electoral votes will each presidential candidate receive?
• How many seats will each party control in the Senate?
• How many seats will each party control in the House?
• Tiebreaker: What percentage of the popular vote will Evan McMullin win in Utah?

Here are the rules:

• You must make your predictions by 7 a.m. Eastern Time on Tuesday, November 8. You may change your prediction at any time up until then, but please make a new post to make sure I see it.
• To adjust for the difference in size between the House and Senate, a multiplier of 4.35 will be applied to the Senate. As a result, your predictions for president will be worth 38% of the total and your predictions for House and Senate will be worth 31% each.
• Any independents will count toward the total of the party with which they caucus.
• A new wrinkle this year ... because a third-party candidate winning some electoral votes is actually statistically possible, your presidential score will be based on the difference between the winning candidate's actual total and the total you assigned to them.

This year, instead of scrounging together a prize package like PTA parents organizing a silent auction, the Wordforge staff will be offering a generous cash prize: $10,000 for every electoral vote won by Jill Stein.

Who will be Wordforge's 2016 Master Prognosticator? It could be you!

I'd drop the Jill Stein prize because there's one Democrat elector up north who says he won't be bound to voting for Hillary.

Well, I didn't say it would be $10,000 U.S.

Where's the "Everyone Loses" option?

I refuse to follow your rules.

Clinton wins.

If it's a major win Democrats can pick up the Senate but not the House but they will make big gains in the House.

If it's a minor win the Republicans hold on too both Senate and House.

On the tiny chance that Trump wins the Democrats would lose seats in the Senate and the House because such huge numbers would be needed for Trump to win that the GOP would get a lot of free votes that it normally would not get.

Clinton: 374
Trump: 158
McMullin: 6, taking 38% of the Utah vote for the win there.

Senate: 52D/48R

House: 223R/212D.

Bonus prediction: the vote for Speaker of the House will go to a second ballot.

Your Senate numbers add up to 101. Do you mean a 51/49 with Democratic VP?

Fixed. I waffled between 52/48 and 51/49, and missed an edit when I changed my mind. 52/48 is what I intended when I posted.

This could be my third win in a row! Read my custom user title, bitches!

I'll be waiting until November to make my predictions.

Was this thread stickied last time around?

It is now.

Clinton wins: 340-198
Dems win Senate: 51-49
Reps hold House: 224-211
McMullen gets 20% in Utah

10,000 Laos Kip. That's. 00012 USD.

Dayton's serial killer cycle begins after election day.

Clinton 344
Trump 194
Senate 51/49 for democrats
House 225/210
Utah guy 20%

Clinton: 0, Trump: 0, Deez Nuts: All teh votez.
Senate and House: 100% Libertarian
McMullin: 0%
Additional guess: record low voter turnout.

Clinton 307 electoral votes
Trump 231 electoral votes
Senate 52/48 GOP
House 230/202 GOP 3 other

Media celebrates the history making nature of Clinton's win and declares it a "mandate"

Who will the others caucus with?

You need to add options for "how many days after the election will Trump whine about losing" and "how many days before the media stops covering Trump whining about losing".

Democrats probably

That would be "every day until he dies" and "with the stench of 'loser' radiating forth from his corpulent mass, the press will actually lose interest in Trump quicker than you might expect. Once Trump TV fails to happen and Trump has to declare personal bankruptcy because the Trump brand is now worth less than the publication rights to a John Castle novel, no one outside of breitbart.com will cover Trump's whining. Give it six months, tops."

I predict whatever 538 predicts.

Also there might be a variable with how many recounts happen.

Dayton snaps goes on killing spree of democratic party officials.

There ought to be a line about how many days it will take to receive Trump's concession.

After Trump's kids have him whacked in a futile effort to stop the frittering away of their inheritance via the destruction of the Trump brand, Ivanka will include a concession speech as part of her eulogy.

Trump hotels are already rebranding as "Scion" to attract millenials and not at all because the name is more associated with the stench of failure than JohnM at a lake whore convention.

With the amount of election laws Hillary has violated, with her operatives talking about how they've been rigging elections for fifty years, with George Soros supplying 50,000 voting machines to six states, and with 71% of Republicans saying the election is rigged, I don't see why Trump would need to concede. If the election is rigged, the citizens are under no obligation to accept the results. Given the demographics, this will of course cause a civil war with almost all the male gun owners, including police and military, on one side and a bunch of feminists, hipsters, and corrupt politicians and bankers on the other.

The election is totally rigged. The problem for your delirious little fantasy is that the vote is not. It's the choice of candidates that's rigged. It's rigged by the parties, it's rigged by the media, it's rigged by the poll questions.

Still no reason to vote for Trump.