Serves you right, Blormpf! I can’t wait for the mainstream news, traditional pollsters, Hollywood, tech oligarchs, late night talk show hosts, and Nate Silver to finally be redeemed. Count your chickens, fellow Democrats — WE ALREADY WON!!
Sheesh, don’t remind about Silver’s embarrassing track record when I’m riding high on this deep blue tidal wave. Still, he was more accurate than most.
Tuesday’s just the victory lap, fam. #HAPPENING. We’re taking it back. When democrats win, the whole world wins! Won’t it feel great when all the world leaders respect us again!!
In his final analysis Nate Silver gave Trump a 28.6% chance of success (low but not unachievable) and in previous months had gone as high as saying he had a 50% chance of victory.
He literally predicted every combination of numbers just in case. Then he WAS right? BRILLIANT! Fingers crossed that his numbers are accurate on Orange is the New White Nationalim.
All I know is these retarded ass white men better get with the program this time and vote to empower special-interests groups like Guatemalan refugees and trannies. They need our help and full support, folks. VOTE AND GTFO, WHITEFORGE!
Dude who doesn't understand how math works weighs in! The one real huge error here (in terms of being in the wrong column by a solid margin) is Ohio. the rest which are in the wrong column were within the margin of error for their state level polling. but here's the thing cowboy: Nate Silver and 538 don't actually DO polls, they aggregate and analyze the work of others. Go out and find the pollsters who missed badly on Ohio, see how they did overall, and if their whole portfolio sucked then bag on them. Bagging on Silver just makes you look like an idiot...oh....wait...
Even then Nate Silver had a ton of shit thrown his way for giving Trump such a high chance. That election was wild, almost unbelievable drama from start to finish.
Math is confusing! So if a meteorologist predicts 99+% chance of rain that means pack your flip flops and suntan lotion?
I see. All the other mainstream mathematicians were shitting on Nate Silver’s math because they thought Trump’s chances couldn’t be that high according to their own math? That’s fucked up!
And not for nothing, Hillary Clinton was a highly polarizing figure. She's not on any ballot in 2018... And we won't have the input of James Comey and hopefully no foreign interference. All we have to worry about now is Republican gerrymandering and voter suppression. I don't know how things will turn out, but 2018 will be a lot different than 2016.
He gave Trump a higher chance than Silver's competitors did, and turned out to be correct. I'll stick with him.
To be honest I'm expecting a Republican victory, Trump's support is still riding a wave and it'll take longer for the realisation to sink in just how mistaken those voters were.
My prediction is an across the board Republican victory. That is unless they are indeed "tired of winning" which I can totally relate to.
I heard on faux news the dems were going to take away every white guy's penis so I was all like where the fuck do I sign up for that. That is a blue wave I want to surf.
Nate Silver triples Republican chances for House control after polls close! Is it still considered a prediction??
too bad the likelihood is not zero then they could claim it is a million times more likely to happen and still be correct. It would totally make them feel better.
According to the website it's 1 in 7. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/our-final-forecast-in-the-senate-house-and-gubernatorial-races/
