2016 Presidential Election Thread

Discussion in 'The Red Room' started by T.R, Apr 8, 2015.

  1. garamet

    garamet "The whole world is watching."

    Joined:
    Apr 2, 2004
    Messages:
    59,487
    Ratings:
    +48,916
    • Agree Agree x 3
  2. Dayton Kitchens

    Dayton Kitchens Banned

    Joined:
    Apr 11, 2004
    Messages:
    51,920
    Location:
    Norphlet, Arkansas
    Ratings:
    +5,412
    You think someone with Trumps money is going to bother with that?

    How many rich people do you know garamet?
  3. garamet

    garamet "The whole world is watching."

    Joined:
    Apr 2, 2004
    Messages:
    59,487
    Ratings:
    +48,916
    I've known two kinds of rich people - Old Money and nouveau.

    Old Money has the first dollar great-great-granddaddy ever made and wears sweaters that are out at elbow. It talks about its "summer cottage in the Vineyard" (usually a minimum of 12 rooms with a year-round staff) and complains within hearing of the housekeeper that "You just can't find good help anymore." It takes great pride in things like "My great-great-great-grandmother was the first white child born in Rhode Island," and has the ancestral chart to prove it.

    Nouveau likes to throw its money around. It can't own enough cars and boats and toys. It likes to build new houses for itself that it seldom lives in for more than a few weeks a year. If you're invited for dinner, the wife will give you a tour. Her husband's pride and joy is "the Game Room" - a mini casino in the basement with a dance floor, a regulation pool table (hubby likes to bounce the eight ball on it to show you the surface has the correct amount of "give"), and of course a wet bar. Wifey's favorite room is "the Library" - a cavernous room with flocked silk wallpaper (she'll tell you how much it cost) lined with - empty - bookshelves.

    Nouveau is loud and crude and never quite loses the accent it brought with it from the 'hood when it made its first million. On the kids' 16th birthdays, the boys are given a new car ("Whattaya want, kid? I'll stop short of a Lambo, but a Jag, a Range Rover? Name it, kid."); their daughters start on the first plastic surgery - nose job, boob job, tummy tuck - so they can look just like their (step)mother.

    The Trumpster is somewhere between the two. His grandfather made the money, his father augmented it. Neither, AFAIK, ever filed for bankruptcy. Neither, AFAIK, ventured out of real estate into casinos.

    Donny is the epitome of what a former employer of mine (he was Old Money, and it was his however-great grandmother who was the first white child born in Rhode Island; he also paid a gardener $200 a month in 1980s money to tend to a 200-year-old live oak on his property because he was trying to get the City of Fairfield to give it landmark status) described as "Money? It's cyclical. The first generation makes it, the second guards it, the third spends it. Then the family starts over."

    This is The Man Who Would Be President. If the immigration laws had been as stringent when he grandfather decided to leave Germany as they are now, Donny might be tending the grapevines just outside of Kallstadt in between brawls and window-smashings. The only question is whether or not he'd go full skinhead and dispense with that dead cat on his head. :shrug:
    • Winner Winner x 1
  4. Dinner

    Dinner 2012 & 2014 Master Prognosticator

    Joined:
    Aug 26, 2009
    Messages:
    37,536
    Location:
    Land of fruit & nuts.
    Ratings:
    +19,361
    http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-bl...261634-sanders-can-win-iowa-and-new-hampshire

    Bernie actually stands a chance of winning in Iowa and New Hampshire. He is actually doing better than Obama was doing at this time during the 2008 race.

    That said, Hillary seems to have locked up all the big institutional and party elite endorsements before the race even got started. I suppose we will find out if voters give a shit about endorsements from party elites. As an interesting side note Jeb Bush has the most party endorsements on the Republican side.
    • Dumb Dumb x 1
  5. T.R

    T.R Don't Care

    Joined:
    Jul 9, 2008
    Messages:
    8,467
    Ratings:
    +9,513
    It's been my experience that endorsements don't mean jack squat. I certainly don't base my decision on who to vote for based on an editorial board.
    • Agree Agree x 2
  6. oldfella1962

    oldfella1962 the only real finish line

    Joined:
    Nov 28, 2004
    Messages:
    81,024
    Location:
    front and center
    Ratings:
    +29,958
    tedc.jpg Paul-Reubens.jpg

    :huh: TED CRUZ = PEE WEE HERMAN (PAUL REUBENS)? Well this makes about as much sense as anything in this election.
  7. Fisherman's Worf

    Fisherman's Worf I am the Seaman, I am the Walrus, Qu-Qu-Qapla'!

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2004
    Messages:
    30,591
    Ratings:
    +42,998
    This is just a guess, but probably more than you. :shrug:

    You think they got rich by being ethical 100% of the time? :lol:
  8. Ancalagon

    Ancalagon Scalawag Administrator Formerly Important

    Joined:
    Mar 29, 2004
    Messages:
    51,572
    Location:
    Downtown
    Ratings:
    +58,206
    • Agree Agree x 1
  9. Ancalagon

    Ancalagon Scalawag Administrator Formerly Important

    Joined:
    Mar 29, 2004
    Messages:
    51,572
    Location:
    Downtown
    Ratings:
    +58,206
    The thing is that party elites = elected officials.

    Generally speaking, you don't get to be an elected official by being out of step with your electorate. Which is why so much stock is put into their endorsements.
  10. Zor Prime

    Zor Prime .

    Joined:
    Dec 28, 2013
    Messages:
    1,697
    Ratings:
    +3,477
    Interesting. But Marco Rubio is not Bobby Jindal.

    And the Hispanic voting bloc is very different from the Asian voting bloc.

    Asians, on average, tend to be more affluent and better educated than other ethnic groups including, Hispanics, whites, and blacks.

    Asians are also less likely to identify as Christian compared to the average Hispanic voter, therefore they tend to be more socially liberal.
    • Agree Agree x 2
  11. gturner

    gturner Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 27, 2014
    Messages:
    19,572
    Ratings:
    +3,648
    Yeah, Asians are socially liberal - as they make their children study till their eyes bleed, even the ones that make their children study the Koran.
    • Disagree Disagree x 1
  12. Fisherman's Worf

    Fisherman's Worf I am the Seaman, I am the Walrus, Qu-Qu-Qapla'!

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2004
    Messages:
    30,591
    Ratings:
    +42,998
    Donald Trump Goes Full Fascist

    :jayzus:
    • Agree Agree x 1
  13. gturner

    gturner Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 27, 2014
    Messages:
    19,572
    Ratings:
    +3,648
    What an ignorant twat.
  14. RickDeckard

    RickDeckard Socialist

    Joined:
    May 28, 2004
    Messages:
    37,900
    Location:
    Ireland
    Ratings:
    +32,498
    Did Ted Cruz say he'd nuke the middle-east?
  15. gul

    gul Revolting Beer Drinker Administrator Formerly Important

    Joined:
    Mar 23, 2004
    Messages:
    52,375
    Location:
    Boston
    Ratings:
    +42,367
    Well, not in the US period, but in colonial times, such tests did exist, (eg quakers hung byMassachusetts puritans). It will be fun to watch gturner and dinner contort themselves in such a way as to demonstrate that religious tests have always been a part of our republic.
    • Agree Agree x 1
    • Dumb Dumb x 1
  16. Camren

    Camren Probably a Dual

    Joined:
    Mar 29, 2004
    Messages:
    4,201
    Location:
    London, UK
    Ratings:
    +902
    Trump's latest brainwave is to ban all Muslims coming to America. He's not taking this presidential election process seriously, is he?
  17. gturner

    gturner Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 27, 2014
    Messages:
    19,572
    Ratings:
    +3,648
    So those Jews fleeing the Nazis were turned away from our ports because ..... ?
  18. Dinner

    Dinner 2012 & 2014 Master Prognosticator

    Joined:
    Aug 26, 2009
    Messages:
    37,536
    Location:
    Land of fruit & nuts.
    Ratings:
    +19,361
    To side step the religious test problem what Congress did until 1965 was to make a quota system then just set the quota at or near zero for non European countries.
    • Dumb Dumb x 1
  19. gturner

    gturner Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 27, 2014
    Messages:
    19,572
    Ratings:
    +3,648
    There's also another angle. From USC 8 §1158. Asylum

    Paragraph (1) shall not apply to an alien if the Attorney General determines that—
    (i) the alien ordered, incited, assisted, or otherwise participated in the persecution of any person on account of race, religion, nationality, membership in a particular social group, or political opinion;
    ...
    (iv) there are reasonable grounds for regarding the alien as a danger to the security of the United States;

    Pretty much everyone from the problematic Islamic countries that have any religious minorities has "assisted, or otherwise participated in the persecution of any person on account of " ... religion and membership in a particular social group. Christians have been fleeing the region in droves, driven out by Islam extremists with the tacit approval of all the Muslims.

    And of course part (iv) applies.
  20. oldfella1962

    oldfella1962 the only real finish line

    Joined:
    Nov 28, 2004
    Messages:
    81,024
    Location:
    front and center
    Ratings:
    +29,958
    That's racist! :drama: How dare you present statistical demographic facts so coldly and callously!
  21. Quincunx

    Quincunx anti-anti Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2004
    Messages:
    20,211
    Location:
    U.S.A.
    Ratings:
    +24,062
    Western Illinois University Predicts a Bernie Sanders Victory in 2016

    The results are in for one Illinois university's famous mock presidential election, but the clear winner may surprise some.

    Western Illinois University's mock election predicted a landslide victory for Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders, with running mate Martin O'Malley, in 2016. The predicted Sanders-O'Malley ticket garnered 404 electoral votes to Jeb Bush-Marco Rubio's 114 votes. In the popular vote, Sanders earned 741 votes (49 percent) to Bush's 577 (38 percent).

    The famously accurate mock election correctly predicted the outcomes of the 2008 and 2012 elections, and the university claims it's the "largest and most elaborate mock presidential simulation in the nation."

    The election was conducted over 10 sessions on the Macomb campus between Oct. 20 and Nov. 2, and thousands of students at the university participated. The sessions included simulations of the Iowa Caucuses and state primaries as well as national nominating conventions and the Electoral College vote. Throughout the process, students chose the candidates' running partners before taking the final presidential vote.

    Illinois was among the few states that went red in the mock election. Iowa and Missouri were the other two Midwestern states that joined Texas, Alabama, Louisiana and Arizona, among others.

    Although the race focused mostly on Sanders and Bush, the mock election also showed a slight turnout for the Libertarian Party's Lex Green (10 percent) and the Green Party's Jill Stein (3 percent).

    The mock election was organized by Dr. Richard J. Hardy, director of the Centennial Honors College and a professor of political science.
    • Love Love x 1
  22. Quincunx

    Quincunx anti-anti Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2004
    Messages:
    20,211
    Location:
    U.S.A.
    Ratings:
    +24,062
  23. gturner

    gturner Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 27, 2014
    Messages:
    19,572
    Ratings:
    +3,648
    Democrat college students pick Democrat to win for third time in a row. It's infallible!
    • Agree Agree x 3
  24. Quincunx

    Quincunx anti-anti Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2004
    Messages:
    20,211
    Location:
    U.S.A.
    Ratings:
    +24,062
    Not sure of the methodology, but it would seem to be somewhat more involved than simply polling the student body.

    Still seems a bit farfetched.
    • Agree Agree x 1
  25. gturner

    gturner Banned

    Joined:
    Sep 27, 2014
    Messages:
    19,572
    Ratings:
    +3,648
    Didn't sound like it, and look at the results. Neither Bernie nor Hillary has a chance in hell of winning Kentucky, much less Utah. In 2012 Obama didn't even get 25 percent of the vote there. Obama got less than 35 percent of the vote in a bunch of the blue states they show going to Sanders, such as Wyoming, Idaho, West Virginia, and Oklahoma.

    I think their method was to hand the students a bunch of crayons.
  26. Zombie

    Zombie dead and loving it

    Joined:
    Mar 29, 2004
    Messages:
    45,044
    Ratings:
    +33,117
    I don't see a problem. Trump said let's bring a halt to immigration from Islamic people until we can get our act together and sort out the good from the bad. He did not say it was ban-time forever.

    And we have religious tests enshrined into immigration law already regarding refugees and immigrants. It's always been there. It's CURRENT law.

    http://www.nationalreview.com/corne...merican-except-federal-law-requires-it-andrew

    And there is no legal right to come to America. (or any other country)

    America has the right to stop certain groups if it deems that there could be national security issues. I would say letting Islamic people in with a penchant for killing Americans would qualify and since ISIS has publicly stated they are trying to use refugees as a cover to sneak their people into our country we need to take a step back and rethink how we can do this without letting terrorists onto our soil.

    The so called vetting that POTUS and his minons say is happening is not happening.

    So why is it okay to stop Iraqi refugees for six months to figure out a problem but not okay to stop Syrian refugees or others from the Middle East for a while to figure out a problem?
  27. Zombie

    Zombie dead and loving it

    Joined:
    Mar 29, 2004
    Messages:
    45,044
    Ratings:
    +33,117
    Oh wow...... they predicted the 2008 and 2012 elections. That must make them fucking geniuses. All hail the college kids from some crap school. :dayton:

    Bernie Sanders? Get the fuck out of here. Hillary will have him shot first.

    How about we go with these guys:

    And, in nearly every presidential election since 1888, voters here in this blue-collar county have selected the winning candidate, missing only twice: Once, in 1908, when they opted for Williams Jennings Bryan instead of William Howard Taft, and again in 1952, when they chose Adlai Stevenson rather than Dwight D. Eisenhower.

    I'll give you a hint: This place isn't going to be voting for Bernie Fucking Sanders anytime soon. Link here
    • Agree Agree x 1
  28. Zombie

    Zombie dead and loving it

    Joined:
    Mar 29, 2004
    Messages:
    45,044
    Ratings:
    +33,117
    And no I don't believe in "this place has voted X and almost always been right so they must be right now"
  29. Dan Leach

    Dan Leach Climbing Staff Member Moderator

    Joined:
    Mar 29, 2004
    Messages:
    32,366
    Location:
    Lancaster UK
    Ratings:
    +10,668
    The fact that so many Americans still seem to be behind Trump says a lot about Americans.....
    • Agree Agree x 2
    • Disagree Disagree x 1
  30. steve2^4

    steve2^4 Aged Meat

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2004
    Messages:
    15,848
    Location:
    Dead and Loving It
    Ratings:
    +13,947
    wow, how to generalize! I take offense to the last bit. Please rephrase to include "says a lot about many Americans."

    It's really 20% of conservatives, so about 10% of yanks that are rabid wankers.
    • Agree Agree x 1